Accession Number : ADA263964

Title :   The Yugoslav Crisis: A Strategic Estimate.

Descriptive Note : Final rept.,

Corporate Author : NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI

Personal Author(s) : Banky, Randall G.

Report Date : 22 FEB 1993

Pagination or Media Count : 47

Abstract : Strategic estimates are prepared by every combatant commander on the countries or regions within their area of responsibility. The fighting that began with the former Yugoslavia's disintegration in 1991 continues to rage in Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina. Hope for a settlement in the near future does not seem to be a reality. This paper outlines the course of action (COA), utilizing specific Flexible Deterrent Options (FDOs), the CINCUSEUCOM should pursue in planning actions for the conflict in the former Yugoslavia. The strategic estimate will include a discussion of the current Yugoslav strategic situation (military geography, sociology, politics, economics, military, and global/regional implications) prior to outlining the recommended COA. Humanitarian reasons alone warrant U.S. intervention. Intervention, however, should consist of implementing this paper's diplomatic, political, economic, and military FDOs prior to considering direct intervention with combat forces. Strategic direction, Strategy, Implications, Courses of action, Deterrent.

Descriptors :   *DETERRENCE, *MILITARY STRATEGY, COMBAT FORCES, CONFLICT, DISINTEGRATION, ECONOMICS, ESTIMATES, GEOGRAPHY, GLOBAL, INTERVENTION, MILITARY GEOGRAPHY, PLANNING, REGIONS, SOCIOLOGY, STRATEGY, WARFARE, YUGOSLAVIA, FOREIGN POLICY.

Subject Categories : Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE