Accession Number : ADA289735
Title : A Computer Model Of The U.S. Navy Unrestricted Line Officer Promotion Process.
Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,
Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
Personal Author(s) : Tortora, Robert P.
PDF Url : ADA289735
Report Date : SEP 1994
Pagination or Media Count : 128
Abstract : This thesis develops a model that accurately portrays the U.S. Navy Unrestricted Line Officer promotion process. The pertinent aspects of the promotion process have been defined and incorporated in a personal computer based program that is capable of estimating promotion statistics over several years. The program is designed to provide the user with a framework for forecasting promotion statistics over a span of years. This framework is based on the most recent information on officer inventories, continuation rates, and Navy manpower and promotion policy. The program interface allows the user to control all of the values necessary to project promotions; permitting the examination of the effects of diverse input estimates on long term promotion statistics. Model validation was accomplished by running the model over past years promotion cycles and comparing the model results with the actual results. The model was tested using plausible assumptions about officer inventories and current manpower policy to examine the impact of the drawdown on the time it will take to promote.
Descriptors : *COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION, *NAVAL PERSONNEL, *OFFICER PERSONNEL, *PROMOTION(ADVANCEMENT), INPUT, POLICIES, VALIDATION, MODELS, INTERFACES, STATISTICS, FORECASTING, THESES, CYCLES, ESTIMATES, MANPOWER, INVENTORY, MICROCOMPUTERS.
Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations
Computer Programming and Software
Military Forces and Organizations
Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE