Accession Number : ADA292526

Title :   Decision-Theory For Crisis Management.

Descriptive Note : Final rept. Feb 91-Sep 94,

Corporate Author : ROCKWELL INTERNATIONAL PALO ALTO CA SCIENCE CENTER

Personal Author(s) : Goldszmidt, Moises ; Darwiche, Adnan ; Chavez, Tom ; Smith, David ; White, James

PDF Url : ADA292526

Report Date : DEC 1994

Pagination or Media Count : 69

Abstract : The Rockwell International Science Center's main contribution to the ARPA/Rome Laboratory Planning Initiative has been the development and application of decision theoretic concepts and tools for the problem of military transportation and crisis planning. Real world planning, like most complete problems, involves multiple competing objectives and uncertainty about actual outcomes. Thus effective operational tools for planning must be able to efficiently manage uncertainty and trade-offs between competing objectives. Rockwell's contributions span; three main areas of the planning process: plan generation, plan evaluation, and plan simulation. Contributions range from basic research results to application-oriented software tools for military transportation planning.

Descriptors :   *CRISIS MANAGEMENT, *DECISION THEORY, *MILITARY PLANNING, *MILITARY TRANSPORTATION, TEST AND EVALUATION, COMPUTER PROGRAMS, COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION, UNCERTAINTY, TOOLS, PROBLEM SOLVING, SCHEDULING, PLANNING, RESOURCE MANAGEMENT, INTERNATIONAL, TRADE OFF ANALYSIS.

Subject Categories : Administration and Management
      Operations Research
      Computer Programming and Software
      Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies
      Surface Transportation and Equipment

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE