
Accession Number : ADA302852
Title : A Technique for Estimating the Conditional Probability of Detecting a NonGaming Drug User.
Descriptive Note : Final rept.,
Corporate Author : NAVY PERSONNEL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT CENTER SAN DIEGO CA
Personal Author(s) : Borack, Jules I.
PDF Url : ADA302852
Report Date : DEC 1995
Pagination or Media Count : 18
Abstract : In order to estimate the effectiveness of random urinalysis drug testing strategies, it is necessary to estimate the conditional probability of detecting drug users; that is, the probability that the user will test positive if selected for drug testing. This report presents a series of methodologies for estimating the conditional probability of detecting nongaming drug users under a wide variety of drug usage and wearoff scenarios. The most general scenario assumes that the probability of detection depend upon the pattern of drug use prior to testing. For nongaming users, it was observed that the probability of detection and the expected number of months until detection are proportional to the command monthly test rate.
Descriptors : *TEST AND EVALUATION, *ESTIMATES, *DRUG USERS, SCENARIOS, METHODOLOGY, DETECTION, STRATEGY, PROBABILITY, RATES, PATTERNS, DRUGS.
Subject Categories : Pharmacology
Information Science
Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE