Accession Number : ADA302852
Title : A Technique for Estimating the Conditional Probability of Detecting a Non-Gaming Drug User.
Descriptive Note : Final rept.,
Corporate Author : NAVY PERSONNEL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT CENTER SAN DIEGO CA
Personal Author(s) : Borack, Jules I.
PDF Url : ADA302852
Report Date : DEC 1995
Pagination or Media Count : 18
Abstract : In order to estimate the effectiveness of random urinalysis drug testing strategies, it is necessary to estimate the conditional probability of detecting drug users; that is, the probability that the user will test positive if selected for drug testing. This report presents a series of methodologies for estimating the conditional probability of detecting non-gaming drug users under a wide variety of drug usage and wear-off scenarios. The most general scenario assumes that the probability of detection depend upon the pattern of drug use prior to testing. For non-gaming users, it was observed that the probability of detection and the expected number of months until detection are proportional to the command monthly test rate.
Descriptors : *TEST AND EVALUATION, *ESTIMATES, *DRUG USERS, SCENARIOS, METHODOLOGY, DETECTION, STRATEGY, PROBABILITY, RATES, PATTERNS, DRUGS.
Subject Categories : Pharmacology
Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE