Accession Number : ADA311165

Title :   Navy Officer Force Planning for the Early 21st Century.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI

Personal Author(s) : McGinnis, Michael L.

PDF Url : ADA311165

Report Date : 14 JUN 1996

Pagination or Media Count : 102

Abstract : The United States Navy Bureau of Naval Personnel (BUPERS), Washington DC, is responsible for managing the professional development of thousands of officers. Officer management policy decisions primarily involves deciding how many officers to access, retain, promote, and separate each year. Good officer management policies ensure that the requisite number of officers by grade (rank) and community (specialty) will be available when needed to meet future force structure requirements. A mathematical forecasting model is presented for projecting current officer inventory over a ten-year planning horizon using officer management policies such as those listed above. The forecasting model has been implemented in an automated decision support system (DSS) designed to provide Navy personnel managers with a highly robust means of developing 'good' officer professional management policies. Two performance criteria are used for policy development: officer management system efficiency measured in terms of deviations of forecasted inventory from officer goals, and total policy cost based on officer pay and allowances.

Descriptors :   *NAVAL PERSONNEL, *NAVAL PLANNING, *OFFICER PERSONNEL, *PERSONNEL DEVELOPMENT, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, POLICIES, AUTOMATION, MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND CONTROL, DECISION MAKING, FORECASTING, MANPOWER, COST MODELS, ACCESS, SALARIES, PERSONNEL RETENTION, PROMOTION(ADVANCEMENT), MARKOV PROCESSES, DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS, MILITARY SEPARATION.

Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations
      Military Forces and Organizations

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE