Accession Number : ADA311774

Title :   An Analysis of Promotion to O-4 in the 1983 Cohort.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s) : Tu, Li-Wei

PDF Url : ADA311774

Report Date : MAR 1996

Pagination or Media Count : 83

Abstract : This thesis uses data from the 1983 cohort file merged with a college file obtained from the Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC). This analysis focuses on the promotion rates of graduates of historically black colleges and universities (HBCUs). I estimate a model of promotion to LCDR 0-4 using a Maximum Likelihood Estimation (logistic) technique. I report the results using the 'notional-person' approach; reporting the marginal effect of changes in the explanatory variables on promotion to LCDR. Results of the study include: female promotion rates are higher than that of males, promotion rates are higher for graduates of aviation officer training programs than for graduates of military academies or ROTC programs. Finally, promotion rates for officers who graduated from HBCUs are not significantly different than promotion rates for other officers.

Descriptors :   *OFFICER PERSONNEL, *PROMOTION(ADVANCEMENT), DATA BASES, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, EDUCATION, PERFORMANCE(HUMAN), MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION, MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS, PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS, STATISTICAL DATA, DEMOGRAPHY, MINORITIES, THESES, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, CAREERS, MANPOWER, MILITARY TRAINING, GRADE STRUCTURE(PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT), GRADUATES, RESERVE OFFICER TRAINING CORPS, BLACKS(RACIAL GROUP).

Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations
      Operations Research

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE