Accession Number : ADA316926

Title :   Risk Analysis for Dam Safety Evaluation: Hydrologic Risk.

Descriptive Note : Final rept.,

Corporate Author : ARMY ENGINEER INST FOR WATER RESOURCES FORT BELVOIR VA

Personal Author(s) : Stedinger, Jery ; Heath, David C. ; Thompson, Kay

PDF Url : ADA316926

Report Date : MAR 1996

Pagination or Media Count : 82

Abstract : This report documents an application of risk analysis techniques to dam safety analysis. The research contributes to the evolution of risk-based dam safety assessment methods by illustrating how such analyzes might be improved. The study examines the employment of detailed stochastic descriptions of the rainfall and runoff processes, and performance improvements in warning systems, dams, and other structures. Using a detailed stochastic analysis concerning hydrologic risk will give decision-makers more information about the implications of adopting alternative solutions to dam safety problems. The analysis herein presented is not advocating the use of risk analysis in lieu of traditional design standard analysis for project decision-making. Rather, it proposes the use of quantitative risk analysis as a complement to current design standard analysis practices.

Descriptors :   *QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, *STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS, *DAMS, TEST AND EVALUATION, STOCHASTIC PROCESSES, RISK, DECISION MAKING, HYDROLOGY, STRUCTURAL RESPONSE, SAFETY, RAINFALL, FLOODING, RUNOFF, WARNING SYSTEMS.

Subject Categories : Civil Engineering
      Structural Engineering and Building Technology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE