Accession Number : ADA319927

Title :   Probabilistic Modeling of a Syndrome.

Descriptive Note : Final rept. Jun 95-Jun 96,

Corporate Author : ARMY RESEARCH LAB ABERDEEN PROVING GROUND MD

Personal Author(s) : Soln, Josip Z.

PDF Url : ADA319927

Report Date : DEC 1996

Pagination or Media Count : 38

Abstract : We propose a probabilistic methodology for deducing a syndrome or syndromes (possibly induced by chemical/biological agents) associated with a large number of people from certain geographic areas that have well-established diagnoses and symptoms. Here, using the finite element method and the databases of symptoms and diagnoses, for each geographic area an analytical probability distribution function is established, which gives a probability that a person has a certain number of symptoms/diagnoses. This, in turn, allows us to write down an analytic expression for the symptoms/diagnoses density from which, with the help of databases, one deduces the overall most numerous symptoms and diagnoses; as such, they define the syndrome for the particular geographic area. Now, comparing the syndromes to each other, one can see to what extent geography, and what is on it, affects the syndromes associated with different geographic areas.

Descriptors :   *DIAGNOSIS(MEDICINE), *EPIDEMIOLOGY, DATA BASES, SOFTWARE ENGINEERING, MILITARY PERSONNEL, KUWAIT, PERSIAN GULF, PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS, FINITE ELEMENT ANALYSIS, REASONING, SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS, PROBLEM SOLVING, GEOGRAPHIC AREAS, COMPUTER AIDED DIAGNOSIS, BIOLOGICAL WARFARE AGENTS, CHEMICAL WARFARE AGENTS, PREVENTIVE MEDICINE.

Subject Categories : Medicine and Medical Research
      Operations Research

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE