Accession Number : ADA319940

Title :   A Stochastic Simulation of a United States Naval Conflict with a Land-Based Opponent: The Impact of C4ISR.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s) : Martinez, Edward R.

PDF Url : ADA319940

Report Date : SEP 1996

Pagination or Media Count : 148

Abstract : This thesis develops a low-resolution stochastic simulation model to assess the impact of the intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance components of C4ISR, and strike capabilities on the mission success of a United States carrier battle group (CVBG). The simulation uses a stochastic approach to model a two-day conflict between a CVBG and a land-based enemy which incorporates the randomness and uncertainty inherent in warfare. The simulation is implemented as a C++ computer program to develop a tool to analytically exercise a prospective new system in order to predict its possible effect on combat operations. Experiments were run which simulated a two-day battle in which the United States CVBG sensor availability, sensor accuracy, and weapons availability were varied to study their affect on the outcome of the battle. Statistical analysis techniques are used to quantitatively measure the results of the battle as the sensor and weapon parameters change.

Descriptors :   *COMMAND CONTROL COMMUNICATIONS, *NAVAL WARFARE, *BATTLE GROUP LEVEL ORGANIZATIONS, *NAVAL INTELLIGENCE, DATA BASES, COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION, UNCERTAINTY, COMBAT EFFECTIVENESS, LAND WARFARE, STOCHASTIC PROCESSES, THESES, TACTICAL RECONNAISSANCE, AIRCRAFT CARRIERS, NAVAL OPERATIONS, CONFLICT, WAR GAMES, STRIKE WARFARE, LOW RESOLUTION, NAVAL TACTICAL DATA SYSTEM, BATTLE MANAGEMENT.

Subject Categories : Naval Surface Warfare
      Command, Control and Communications Systems
      Military Intelligence

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE