Accession Number : ADA326567

Title :   Strategic Prediction for Adaptive Action: Informing the United Nations.

Descriptive Note : Research rept.,

Corporate Author : ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA

Personal Author(s) : Kennedy, Vincent W.

PDF Url : ADA326567

Report Date : 15 APR 1997

Pagination or Media Count : 34

Abstract : Strategic prediction is the comprehension of the strategic purpose of potential belligerents or threats in the context of political objectives and evolving circumstances, over time. This goes beyond the requirements previously fulfilled by intelligence, and includes gaming, modeling, comparative studies and a host of other techniques. If mobilized at the international strategic level of the United Nations, these techniques embodied in a Strategic Prediction Center could dramatically improve the capacity of the United Nations to develop consensus to prevent crises with adaptive, iterative action/reaction decisions. The outline of such a Center and its necessary characteristics and capabilities are discussed and recommended.

Descriptors :   *STRATEGY, *PREDICTIONS, *UNITED NATIONS, FOREIGN POLICY, EMERGENCIES, DECISION MAKING, INTERNATIONAL POLITICS, MODELS, THREATS, ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS, ITERATIONS, PREVENTION, INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, COMPREHENSION.

Subject Categories : Government and Political Science
      Psychology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE