Accession Number : ADA329144

Title :   Methodology for an Operationally-Based Test Length Decision

Descriptive Note : Technical rept

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH

Personal Author(s) : Gaver, Donald P. ; Jacobs, Patricia A.

PDF Url : ADA329144

Report Date : AUG 1997

Pagination or Media Count : 20

Abstract : Weapon systems that function destructively (e.g. missile or torpedo) are to be acquired in a lot of size m. Acceptance of the lot is based on the result of an operational test, administered to part of the lot if the test results indicate positive operational value the lot is accepted and the remaining part of the lot if fielded; otherwise the lot is 'rejected'. A test plan is designed that establishes an optimal number of weapon copies to test, given (models of) the operational gain of the fielded weapon under two tactical options, and the uncertainty in the weapon's predicted probability of success after the test is complete. The major test objective is to realize possible operational utility from the lot of items, and secondarily to demonstrate arbitrary levels of certainty.

Descriptors :   *DAMAGE ASSESSMENT, *WEAPON SYSTEM EFFECTIVENESS, *STATISTICAL ANALYSIS, DESTRUCTION, TEST METHODS, OPERATIONAL EFFECTIVENESS.

Subject Categories : Fire Control and Bombing Systems

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE