Accession Number : ADA329197

Title :   Probability Models for Battle Damage Assessment (Simple Shoot-Look-Shoot and Beyond)

Descriptive Note : Technical rept

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH

Personal Author(s) : Gaver, Donald P. ; Jacobs, Patricia A.

PDF Url : ADA329197

Report Date : AUG 1997

Pagination or Media Count : 26

Abstract : In spite of the precision of modern weaponry and sensor/communication systems, shots fired at targets do occasionally miss (or cause only partial damage). Consequently a sequence of more than one shot may be directed at a particular target to increase the probability of kill. The role of Battle-damage assessment (BDA) in such a setting is to make a judgment as to when further shots are actually necessary. BDA is not error-free. Probability models of the effect of battle damage assessment on shooting tactics are described and studied. Model results are presented to examine some features of tradeoffs between kill probability, PK, and the capacity of a hypothetical BDA system to correctly judge the effect of a shot.

Descriptors :   *KILL PROBABILITIES, *DAMAGE ASSESSMENT, GUIDED MISSILES, ANTIMISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEMS, TARGETING.

Subject Categories : Operations Research
      Antimissile Defense Systems

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE