Accession Number : ADA329429

Title :   Stochastic Simulation Analysis - 2005 (SSA-05)

Descriptive Note : Final rept. Apr-Jul 97

Corporate Author : ARMY CONCEPTS ANALYSIS AGENCY BETHESDA MD

Personal Author(s) : Johnson, Ralph

PDF Url : ADA329429

Report Date : JUL 1997

Pagination or Media Count : 66

Abstract : The Support Force Requirements Analysis - 2005 (SRA-05), recently completed by the US Army Concepts Analysis Agency (CAA) is an important component of the Total Amry Analysis - 2005, which estimates the quantities of Army combat support and service support units required for hypothetical warfare contingencies in 2005. The combat outcomes of SRA-05 were estimated by means of the Concepts Evaluation Model (CEM), a fully automated deterministic constructive computer model of theater-level warfare that is used extensively for Army studies of force capabilities and requirements. Since 1991 CAA has been developing and testing a stochastic simulation model of theater warfare, based on the CEM, called STOCEM. The objectives of this research are as follows: (1) Using STOCEM, simulate a base case conventional campaign from each of the Korea and Southwest Asia theaters of SRA-05. (2) Compare the results of STOCEM with deterministic CEM results of SRA-05. This report provides the results, observations, and recommendations of the research.

Descriptors :   *COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION, *THEATER LEVEL OPERATIONS, *COMBAT SUPPORT, *ARMY OPERATIONS, MILITARY REQUIREMENTS, STOCHASTIC PROCESSES, ARMY RESEARCH, CONVENTIONAL WARFARE, MILITARY CAPABILITIES, KOREA, SOUTHWEST ASIA, NORTHEAST ASIA.

Subject Categories : Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE