Accession Number : ADP000485

Title :   Probabilistic Model for Debris Hazards from Explosions,

Corporate Author : NAVAL CIVIL ENGINEERING LAB PORT HUENEME CA

Personal Author(s) : Huang,Louis

Report Date : AUG 1982

Pagination or Media Count : 23

Abstract : The sample case demonstrates the applicability of the probabilistic approach to the debris hazard problem, although test data are lacking to verify the prediction. It must be emphasized that all five input probability density functions are crude and unsophisticated for preliminary demonstration purposes and can be easily improved or modified when more empirical data and/or theories are developed. The Monte Carlo random trajectory simulation program will be further developed to include the initial launch height, negative launch angle, and multiple mesh elements, Field tests on various building and charge characteristics are also planned for later stages of the project to obtain, improve, and verify the five input probability density functions. (Author)

Descriptors :   *Explosives, *Safety, *Symposia, Explosion effects, Debris, Impact, Trajectories, Launching, Angles, Height, Probability, Experimental data, Structural engineering, Magazines(Ordnance)

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE