Accession Number : ADP000610

Title :   Player-Assisted Simulations -- Employment Techniques and Limitations,


Personal Author(s) : Willis,Roger F. ; O'Connell,James T. , Jr

Report Date : 1973

Pagination or Media Count : 19

Abstract : We have given stopping rules for war game simulations with exponential life-times, and suggest that two important points should be noted in our analysis and the example. These types of problems often and naturally lead to some type of statistical hypothesis testing situation. If the effectiveness model used is a simulation that generates life-time data, the analysis is greatly simplified by allowing the use of the available reliability theory, for this leads to a rather straight-forward significance testing procedure. A fallout of the methodology described in the example is the stopping rule for determining the sample size or the number of data points (kill times) that are required before the simulation may be truncated and the test conducted at the prescribed low risk levels. This 'stopping rule' is simply the analytic solution for the number of kills required to fit the operating characteristic curve or power function of the test through the appropriate test parameters. It is seen, therefore, that the procedure may have considerable potential. (Author)

Descriptors :   *Army operations, *Operations research, *War games, *Computerized simulation, Computer programming, Computer programs, Employment, Limitations, Land warfare, Military force levels, Tactical air support

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE