Accession Number : ADP000617

Title :   Sensitivity Analysis of a Weapon Effectiveness Model,

Corporate Author : PICATINNY ARSENAL DOVER NJ

Personal Author(s) : Gaydos,George M.

Report Date : 1973

Pagination or Media Count : 11

Abstract : Several publications have been issued by the Joint Munitions Effectiveness Manual/Surface-to-Surface (JMEM/SS) Methodology and Evaluation Working Group presenting the effectiveness of various US Army mortar and artillery weapons systems against personnel and materiel targets. The Joint Munitions Effectiveness Manuals have been produced under the auspices of the Joint Technical Coordinating Group/Munitions Effectiveness for the purpose of providing the DOD community with a uniform source of weapons effects data. The effectiveness data included in these manuals incorporate munitions lethality, delivery accuracy, reliability and environmental effects against a representative spectrum of targets. As one of its assignments as a member of the JMEM/SS Methodology and Evaluation Working Group, the Concepts & Effectiveness Division of Picatinny Arsenal was tasked to conduct a sensitivity study to answer the following question: Considering the variability and uncertainties in the inputs used to compute the JMEM/SS effectiveness numbers for indirect fire systems, how sensitive are the answers to errors in these input values? This paper will describe the sensitivity analysis conducted on one of the US Army's 155mm howitzer weapons. (Author)

Descriptors :   *Army operations, *Operations research, *Weapon system effectiveness, *Mortars, *Artillery, Computer programming, Computer program verification, Lethality, Weapon delivery, Accuracy, Reliability, Environments

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE