Accession Number : ADP001298

Title :   Forecasting Army Officer Retention Prior to Commissioning,

Corporate Author : MILITARY ACADEMY WEST POINT NY

Personal Author(s) : Butler,Richard P. ; Bridges,Claude F. ; Houston,John W.

Report Date : 1981

Pagination or Media Count : 9

Abstract : Valid selection instruments may help the Army to diminish the problem of retaining qualified officer personnel after their initial tours of duty. This report describes, validates, and updates information on the Military Career Commitment Gradient (MCCOG), an instrument designed to predict, prior to commissioning, whether an individual will remain on active duty after his initial tour. The MCCOG was administered to the U.S. Military Academy Classes of 1966, 1967, and 1969 shortly before commissioning, and to the Classes of 1970, 1971, and 1972 one, two, and three years, respectively, before commissioning. The MCCOG scores for all six classes were significantly correlated with the criterion--on active duty versus not on active duty--gathered seven to nine years later. The coefficients ranged from .17 when the MCCOG was given three years prior to commissioning, to .54 when the MCCOG was administered just prior to commissioning. Possible uses of the MCCOG for any commissioning program are discussed.

Descriptors :   *Personnel retention, *Officer personnel, Army personnel, Careers, Predictions, Forecasting, Scoring, Estimates, Validation, Symposia

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE