Accession Number : ADP001366

Title :   Aviation Training Task Proficiency: A Probabilistic Approach,

Corporate Author : TRAINING ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION GROUP (NAVY) ORLANDO FL

Personal Author(s) : Rankin,William C. ; McDaniel,William C.

Report Date : 1981

Pagination or Media Count : 12

Abstract : The assessment of flight task proficiency by instructor pilots in Navy training squadrons poses a problem in determining the point at which performance on most subsequent trials would be judged 'proficient.' Because of the inherent variability in trainees, instructor judgements, and training tasks, a probabilistic decision must be made. It is proposed that Wald's technique of sequential sampling applied to trail-by-trail performance data (instructor judgements of 'proficient vs. not proficient') can be adapted to the flight training situation. Sequential sampling models can be used consistency by letting the instructor focus on a single binary decision each time the trainee performs a task. Then, the appropriate model determines with controllable risks, when to terminate training on the task. The model(s) does this because a sampling threshold has been reached and there is a high probability that most of all subsequent performance for a given task will be judged proficient.

Descriptors :   *Naval training, *Flight training, *Operational effectiveness, *Proficiency, *Probability, Sampling, Performance(Human), Decision making, Job analysis, Ratings, Scoring, Judgement(Psychology), Instructors, Pilots, Computer aided instruction, Computer applications, Symposia

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE