Accession Number : ADP001584

Title :   Estimating the Variance of the Loss Exchange Ratio,


Personal Author(s) : Dutoit,Eugene

Report Date : JUN 1983

Pagination or Media Count : 6

Abstract : A measure of force effectiveness that is often used in military analysis of combat is the Loss Exchange Ratio (LER). In many cases, the input required to calculate this measure is obtained by replicating a stochastic wargame model by using a computer or a manual exercise. It would be useful to determine a confidence interval about this measure of force effectiveness. This confidence interval would enable the analyst to examine problems concerning the precision of the measure, and compute the replication requirement for a stated degree of precision. Hypothesis testing could be done to compare the LERs of different alternative weapons systems introduced into the force. Two methods of solution are developed and proposed and an example is given. (Author)

Descriptors :   *Mathematical models, *Ratios, *Combat effectiveness, *Measurement, Weapon system effectiveness, Computations, Input, Stochastic processes, War games, Confidence limits, Replicas, Computer applications, Estimates, Analysis of variance

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE