Accession Number : ADP002631

Title :   National Waterways Study Waterborne Commerce Forecasts,

Corporate Author : ARMY ENGINEER INST FOR WATER RESOURCES FORT BELVOIR VA

Personal Author(s) : Dietz,A. L.

Report Date : OCT 1983

Pagination or Media Count : 5

Abstract : This term, forecasts, immediately conjures up mental pictures of beautiful math models and hungry computers. Most of you certainly embraced one or more models during your career. Each probably discovered one or major flaws or weaknesses in your models. The National Waterways Study (NWS) produced forecasts for every major United States waterway and for each major commodity group. NWS also produced a wealth of experience, learning from the successes and failures of the approaches and models. This presentation will briefly discuss the NWS approach and touch on the success and the failure of the forecasting effort.

Descriptors :   *Water traffic, Inland waterways, Shipping, Commerce, Economic analysis, Forecasting, Symposia

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE