Accession Number : ADP003364

Title :   Using Comparison-Based Methods for Predicting and Designing,

Corporate Author : KLEIN ASSOCIATES YELLOW SPRINGS OH

Personal Author(s) : Klein,G. A. ; Gordon,S. E.

Report Date : APR 1984

Pagination or Media Count : 5

Abstract : Effective planning requires that we can predict the outcomes of different options, but it is difficult to make predictions when we have limited knowledge of the relevant causes and their impacts. Comparison-based methods are proposed as a means of generating predictions despite uncertainty and missing data. The methods have the further advantage of providing an audit trail describing the basis for the predictions: the comparison case used, the operational data collected, the adjustments made along with their rationale. (Author)

Descriptors :   *Military training, *Training devices, *Decision making, *Predictions, *Military planning, Methodology, Comparison, Data acquisition, Rational functions

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE